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Long-Term Dogecoin Holders Are In “Denial” – On-Chain Metrics Expose Weakness

CryptoNWZ by CryptoNWZ
February 27, 2025
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Long-Term Dogecoin Holders Are In “Denial” – On-Chain Metrics Expose Weakness
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is buying and selling at key demand ranges after two weeks of intense promoting stress, with bears driving DOGE down over 30%. The broader crypto market has confronted a chronic correction that began in mid-January, however meme cash have been essentially the most impacted. Because the market chief within the meme coin sector, Dogecoin has suffered excessive volatility, testing decrease assist ranges as investor sentiment stays bearish.

Associated Studying

Glassnode’s on-chain metrics reveal that long-term Dogecoin holders are in “denial”, signaling rising uncertainty amongst those that have held DOGE for prolonged intervals. The DOGE Lengthy-Time period Holder Web Unrealized Revenue/Loss (NUPL) indicator has been in a declining pattern, which means that many long-term holders are seeing diminishing unrealized earnings and even slipping into losses. This pattern means that holders who as soon as remained assured in Dogecoin’s long-term potential at the moment are dealing with market doubt and will think about promoting if situations don’t enhance.

As DOGE trades close to essential assist, the following few days shall be crucial for figuring out whether or not bulls can reclaim management and push for restoration or if promoting stress will proceed, forcing DOGE into deeper correction territory. Bitcoin and the whole market are setting contemporary lows, and this week shall be essential for bulls to defend key demand at these ranges.

Dogecoin Crashes: Can Bulls Regain Management?

Dogecoin has skilled a large sell-off, plunging greater than 59% from its December excessive of round $0.48 to a current low of $0.19. This dramatic decline has fueled panic throughout the market, with sentiment deteriorating additional as many analysts start calling for the beginning of a bear market. The downturn has weakened buyers’ confidence, and meme cash—as soon as the most well liked sector available in the market—at the moment are dealing with the harshest corrections.

Regardless of the continued decline, on-chain information suggests not all hope is misplaced for DOGE. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared Glassnode metrics indicating that long-term Dogecoin holders are in “denial”, based on the DOGE Lengthy-Time period Holder Web Unrealized Revenue/Loss (NUPL) indicator.

Dogecoin Long-Term Holder NUPL | Source: Ali Martinez on X
Dogecoin Lengthy-Time period Holder NUPL | Supply: Ali Martinez on X

This information means that many long-term buyers are nonetheless holding onto their DOGE regardless of the downturn however are beginning to develop bored with the extended downtrend. Traditionally, such “denial phases” can precede both a remaining capitulation or a powerful rebound if bulls reclaim management.

Associated Studying

The upcoming week shall be essential in figuring out whether or not Dogecoin can bounce again from present ranges or if sellers will proceed to dominate. If DOGE manages to carry key assist ranges and reclaim momentum, a reduction rally may very well be in sight. Nonetheless, if promoting stress persists, the worth might proceed trending downward, extending the correction additional.

Dogecoin Worth Struggles After 19% Drop

Dogecoin is buying and selling at $0.21 after a pointy 19% drop since Monday, persevering with its downward trajectory amid broader market weak point. The meme coin sector has been one of many hardest hit in current weeks, with DOGE struggling to search out sturdy assist as promoting stress stays dominant.

DOGE price below long-term demand levels | Source: DOGEUSDT chart on TradingView
DOGE worth beneath long-term demand ranges | Supply: DOGEUSDT chart on TradingView

Bulls now face a crucial take a look at as holding above present ranges is crucial to keep away from additional draw back. To provoke a restoration rally, DOGE must reclaim the $0.24 mark, a key resistance degree that would sign the beginning of an uptrend. Nonetheless, market sentiment stays cautious, and worth motion means that DOGE may enter a consolidation section beneath this degree earlier than any significant restoration begins.

Associated Studying

If Dogecoin fails to carry above $0.21, bears might proceed pushing the worth decrease, probably revisiting earlier assist ranges. Nonetheless, if patrons step in and DOGE stabilizes, it may construct momentum for a future push towards increased costs. Within the brief time period, merchants ought to intently watch whether or not bulls can defend present demand ranges and reclaim key resistance ranges to verify a possible reversal in worth motion.

Featured picture from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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