Bitcoin rally above $100K may follow US Treasury buybacks — Arthur Hayes

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Traders in search of Bitcoin publicity could also be working out of time to buy under a six-figure worth, as US Treasury buybacks could sign the following leg up for the world’s first cryptocurrency.

This could be the “final probability” to purchase Bitcoin (BTC) under the $100,000 mark, in keeping with Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief funding officer of Maelstrom.

“Significantly fam, this could be the final probability it’s important to purchase $BTC < $100k,” Hayes mentioned in an April 21 X post, hinting at incoming “treasury purchase backs” because the “Bazooka” for Bitcoin’s worth trajectory.

Supply: Arthur Hayes

Treasury buybacks consult with the US Treasury Division repurchasing its excellent bonds from the open market to extend liquidity, handle federal debt or stabilize rates of interest.

These operations can inject liquidity into the monetary system, typically benefiting threat belongings like Bitcoin.

Associated: Bitcoin up 33% since 2024 halving as institutions disrupt cycle

Different analysts predicted that the expansion of the fiat cash provide can be Bitcoin’s main catalyst in 2025.

BTC projection to $132,000 on M2 cash provide progress. Supply: Jamie Coutts

The rising cash provide could push Bitcoin’s price above $132,000 earlier than the top of the 12 months, in keeping with Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Actual Imaginative and prescient.

Nonetheless, world commerce conflict issues could restrict investor urge for food till the US and China reach a commerce settlement.

Associated: Metaplanet tops $400M Bitcoin holdings with new $28M purchase

US greenback sinks to 2022 low, Bitcoin good points momentum

Bitcoin briefly rose above $87,700 for the primary time in practically three weeks, since US President Donald Trump introduced reciprocal import tariffs on April 2.

“Appears like Bitcoin is pumping on continued Greenback weak spot,” wrote André Dragosch, the European head of analysis at Bitwise, including that the US Greenback Index “simply touched the bottom degree since March 2022.”

BTC, DXY, 1-year chart. Supply: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The weakening US greenback could reinforce Bitcoin’s attraction as a safe-haven asset, Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Analysis, instructed Cointelegraph, including:

“Robust quantity and technical affirmation from a descending wedge breakout recommend a possible check of the $90,000 resistance, with macro components like a weakening greenback and rising gold correlation reinforcing BTC’s attraction as a hedge.”

Regardless of the current correction, Japanese and UK-based investment firms are investing lots of of tens of millions into Bitcoin, signaling continued institutional adoption which will speed up Bitcoin’s four-year cycle.

This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.

Journal: SCB tips $500K BTC, SEC delays Ether ETF options, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 23 – March 1