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Bitcoin vs. tariffs: The ultimate test for BTC’s ‘safe-haven’ use case

CryptoNWZ by CryptoNWZ
May 12, 2025
in Bitcoin
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Bitcoin vs. tariffs: The ultimate test for BTC’s ‘safe-haven’ use case

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  • Bitcoin’s use case is about to take middle stage – once more.
  • Will one other liquidity sweep be the spark that sends BTC into value discovery mode?

“Cautious optimism” is creeping again into the crypto market, and it’s straightforward to see why. 

The U.S. is slashing tariffs on Chinese language items from 145% to 30%. In the meantime, China is trimming its personal from 125% to only 10%. Each for a restricted 90-day window.

Given this, it’s straightforward to suppose Bitcoin’s [BTC] path to a brand new all-time excessive simply bought a bit clearer. However based on AMBCrypto, Bitcoin’s use case is about to face a severe real-world stress take a look at. 

Bitcoin’s use case : Hype or hedge in a post-tariff world?

Since “Liberation Day” on the 2nd of April, when tariff talks first kicked off, Bitcoin has been outperforming shares.

In truth, it powered via April’s inventory sell-off and stored main as markets bounced again, even after the tariffs had been put in place.

Take the S&P 500, for instance. Within the week following Liberation Day, it plummeted 12%, whereas Bitcoin solely noticed a minor 5% dip.

What’s much more spectacular? This resilience got here regardless of a $1 billion outflow from BTC ETFs on a weekly foundation. 

Bitcoin use caseBitcoin use case

Supply: BGeometrics

This value motion clearly cemented Bitcoin’s function as a strategic hedge. Therefore, additional proving its use case as a go-to ‘protected haven’ in unstable markets. 

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However what occurs now that these macro dangers are cooling off? In response to AMBCrypto, if Bitcoin retains climbing, regardless, it would simply show that its use case goes far past the headlines.

In brief, it’s time to see if BTC is constructed to final – or if it’s simply using the “hype.”

Buyers alter to market indicators

As macro tailwinds shift, market repositioning is in full swing. S&P 500 futures are already up by +3% at press time, with high tech giants again within the inexperienced. 

In the meantime, the bond market is experiencing a sell-off, as evidenced by the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield (curiosity on authorities borrowing) rising almost 6%, reaching 4.433% bps. 

Treasury yieldTreasury yield

Supply: Buying and selling Economics

Danger-on capital is again in full pressure, and the timing couldn’t be extra crucial. Bitcoin is eyeing a pivotal resistance zone at $106k – a serious hurdle for its bullish use case. 

The burning query: Will BTC take middle stage as a hedge on this post-tariff calm? With fee cuts trying more and more unlikely, this might be the set off for its subsequent transfer, climate up or down.

It’s crunch time for Bitcoin to show its ‘safe-haven’ use case as soon as and for all. 

Therefore, displaying the market that it’s not only a speculative play, however a legit hedge.

Subsequent: As Bitcoin nears $105K, will BTC cross a new all-time high? – Assessing…

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