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The Dogecoin two-day candlestick chart has returned to the identical accumulation shelf that preceded its five-fold burst final autumn, and unbiased market technician Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) argues the sample “appears to be like bottomed—early name, and I’m lengthy.” The strategist, who flagged Bitcoin’s April higher-low earlier than it erupted by way of $69 000, told followers on X that DOGE now gives a “6R+ commerce” again into December’s provide wall.
The Dogecoin Backside Is In
The up to date chart reveals worth printing successive wicks right into a lavender demand band that begins at $0.12and tops out slightly below $0.15000. Thus far each take a look at of that flooring has been absorbed, leaving a collection of upper two-day closes. “Alright, DOGE solely moved barely off the low,” Astronomer wrote, “so there nonetheless is a 6R+ commerce to be scored if it had been to go to the highs.”
The black horizontal at $0.18210 marks the primary decisive reclaim. Sunday’s session opened at $0.18141, punched to $0.18210, and settled at $0.17548—fractionally below the set off however properly away from the gray worth space that defines the analyst’s threat field. For merchants working tight stops, the invalidation sits slightly below $0.12982, limiting downside to roughly twelve-and-a-half cents whereas holding the complete upside open to a $0.40000–0.48527 liquidity void shaded in emerald inexperienced. “If you would like an outlined threat for an outlined reward,” Astronomer added, “an extended as offered additionally is sensible.”
Associated Studying
Technically the construction mimics October 2024, when DOGE carved a rounded base at $0.10, ignited on rising quantity, and topped out at $0.48527 eight weeks later. “Final time we left the vary mindset was October ‘24 and we purchased DOGE at 10 c,” the analyst reminded readers. “It pulled a 5x earlier than retracing for what IMO now has grow to be a better low.”
The projection sketched on the chart anticipates a one to 2 months sideways chop contained in the gray band that caps at roughly $0.175, adopted by a staircase advance into the low-$0.30s and an autumn take a look at of the December pivot.
Associated Studying
Not one of the hand-drawn arrows pierce the outdated excessive, underscoring that the thesis will not be predicated on price discovery—solely on a mean-reversion to the final heavy provide node. “Given that is an altcoin and expectations are probably past $0.5, having heavy spot baggage already pays for little threat,” he wrote. “They nonetheless might take time and take off slower than BTC, however the RR IMO can be increased.”
As ever, affirmation will come—or fail—on the tape. A two-day shut above $0.20000 would set up a higher-time-frame reversal and expose $0.30 liquidity, whereas a settlement beneath $0.12982 would invalidate the setup and reopen the 10-cent deal with. Till then, Astronomer’s name rests on the premise that Bitcoin bottoms first, Ethereum follows, and “one after the other, alts backside out by way of cyclical timing, sentiment, and their respective POIs.” Dogecoin, he contends, simply ticked each field.
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.173.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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